Tiger vs Longhorn in 2006 - Steve Gillmore talks to Jonathan Schwartz
SG: He sees the opportunity to build apps on top of that infrastructure.
Schwartz: No company has ever monetized Microsoft's infrastructure in the history of Microsoft.
SG: What are the desktop killer apps, not in 5, but 2 years, that will seed that market, and force a migration off Office?
Schwartz: The killer app for this desktop is price, because China and India and El Salvador and Brazil can't afford a hundred dollars per desktop from Microsoft.
SG: How do you combat the Longhorn vision in a time frame that's going to make some difference?
Schwartz: It's called "Tiger." J2SE 1.5 will deliver lightning performance on that desktop. We've already provided a rich client called Java, but Microsoft wasn't so interested in helping us with our deployment. So we've done our own now – we've signed up over half of the PC industry to ship our J2SE. And as we fold 1.5 seamlessly integrated into Mozilla, that will give us not only an optimized Web services execution environment on the client, it will give us a beautiful portability story onto a much cheaper desktop called the Java Desktop.
SG: But so what. If Microsoft goes off and bakes its stuff into 100 million desktops…
Schwartz: I don't look at Longhorn and say "Oh, my god, they've architected a better automobile." I look at them and say "You're trying to improve on a buggy whip." If you're just another end node on the network, what are you going to deliver to it? Office productivity is just a feature. We're over it, done with that. The real issue is: what are you going to do with peer-to-peer streaming of video?
Name me a software business last year that was $6 billion. It's tough to do – database, maybe. And this year, ring tones will be $8-10 billion. Maybe an enterprise app is worth that kind of money. All of the high value systems going forward are going to be consumer systems.
[Via: Microsoft Watch from Mary Jo Foley]